The National Hurricane Center set odds at 80 percent that the system develops in the next 48 hours and 90 percent for development in the next five days.
1pm EST Sunday Nov 6–Key Messages for Area of Low Pressure over the SW Atlantic.
Interests along SE US coast, E Florida, & C-NW Bahamas should monitor closely. Storm Surge, Tropical Storm, & Hurricane Watches could be needed for parts on Monday.
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) November 6, 2022
No big changes with Sunday afternoon GFS ensembles. Most model members show a strengthening tropical storm or hurricane reaching South Florida Wed ngt/Thu with enough uncertainty to keep everyone in the entire peninsula threatened. Tropical storm/hurricane watches likely Monday. pic.twitter.com/6kTHAEWnVx
— Craig Setzer (@CraigSetzer) November 6, 2022